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Northeast Florida Real Estate Market Update — Week of July 2, 2026: Prices, Insurance Cuts, and a Property Tax Bombshell

If you own a home in Northeast Florida — or you’re thinking about buying one — the first week of July 2026 just handed you a lot to digest. Prices are up, insurance is finally coming down, and Tallahassee may have just set in motion the biggest property tax change in Florida history.

Here’s everything you need to know, in plain language.

Where Home Prices Stand Right Now (By County)

  • Regional NE Florida median: $410,000 in May, up 5.1% YoY
  • St. Johns County: $579,985–$587,000 median, 32–35 days on market
  • Duval County: $340,000 median, 28 days on market (fastest in region)
  • Clay County: $359,900, flat year-over-year — softer demand, price reductions appearing
  • Nassau County: $480,000, up 3.6% month-over-month, closed sales up 9%
  • Market condition: ~3.9 months of supply — most balanced in years

Florida Homeowners Insurance — The Rate Cut You’ve Been Waiting For

Citizens cuts rates 8.7–8.8% effective July 1 — first reduction in a decade

Citizens policy count down from 779,500 to 293,000 in one year — driving down reinsurance costs

Private carriers (Florida Peninsula, Security First, Universal) also reducing rates

What to do: Review your renewal date and shop the market — competition is returning

Caveat: Hurricane season is active; coastal/flood exposure still commands a premium.

The Property Tax Amendment That Could Change Everything

Florida legislature passed HJR 1F — raises homestead exemption to $150K (2027) and $250K (2028)

Up to 60% of Florida primary homeowners could owe zero property taxes if it passes

Voters decide in November 2026 — not yet law

Local impact: St. Johns County officials raising concerns about revenue impact on services

Action item right now: If you own a home and haven’t filed your homestead exemption — do it immediately (24,000+ Duval homeowners are missing out).

What Mortgage Rates and the New Federal Housing Bill Mean for First Coast Buyers

30-year fixed: 6.49–6.58%; 15-year fixed: 5.84–5.93% as of July 2

Monthly payment reality check: $400K purchase = ~$2,275/mo P&I at 6.5%; $550K = ~$3,128/mo

Congress passed the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act — bans large institutional investors from buying more single-family homes

NE Florida impact: Could return entry-level inventory to individual buyers in west Duval, Clay, Orange Park

rump hasn’t signed it yet — watch this space

Dazzling fireworks light up the Jacksonville skyline over St. Johns River.

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Sarah Olson

Team Lead of First Coast Collective Team, I am a full-service real estate broker associate working in Saint Johns County and Jacksonville, FL.

I love taking the stress off my clients and making their moves worry and hassle-free. This is done with my impeccable organizational and planning skills; positive attitude; and a sprinkle of OCD. I am service-oriented and a trusted advisor in real estate, helping you every step of the way.

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